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Gold Volatility Intensifies Ahead of U.S. Jobs Report as Fed Remains in Focus
Spot gold opened the week around $4,142 per ounce and quickly advanced to the $4,220 per ounce area at the start of the week. However, the recovery lost momentum as the U.S. dollar strengthened, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data emerged, and expectations of a potential Fed rate hike continued to weigh on the precious metal.
Gold Heads for Fourth Straight Weekly Loss as Hawkish Fed Bets Weigh on Prices
At the time of writing, spot gold fell 0.9% to $3,991.49 per ounce. Meanwhile, U.S. gold futures for August delivery dropped 1% to $4,007.30 per ounce.
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Gold Holds Around $4,000 as Lower U.S. Yields Offset Fed Tightening and Gulf Risks
At the time of writing, spot gold was trading around $4,027.40 per ounce, up 0.73% on the session. Meanwhile, spot silver rose 0.87% to around $57.80 per ounce.
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GOLD FALLS BELOW $4,000/OZ: WHAT COULD COME NEXT?
The main pressure came from the strengthening U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain a tight monetary policy stance and potentially raise interest rates in the coming period.
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The U.S. Dollar Extends Gains as Markets Bet on Fed Rate Hikes
The U.S. dollar strengthened sharply against several major currencies this week. Against the euro, the greenback broke through the 1.14 EUR/USD level and at one point pushed EURUSD down to 1.1325, marking the dollar’s strongest level in around 13 months.
Gold Falls 28% From Its Peak: A Deep Correction or the End of the Bull Market?
On Wednesday, spot gold fell more than 3%, trading around $3,980.20 per ounce. This is a notable move as the market continues to test the key support zone around $4,000 per ounce.
The U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations and a Tech Stock Sell-Off Boost Demand
In addition, increasingly hawkish comments from Fed officials also supported the strength of the greenback. According to CME FedWatch, markets are currently pricing in around a 37% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike at the July meeting, up sharply from 8.5% a week earlier. The probability of a rate hike in September also rose to 70%, compared with 29.1% previously.