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September 18, 2025

September 18, 2025: Asian and Global Market Overview Post Fed Decision

September 18, 2025: Asian and Global Market Overview Post Fed Decision
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Today, September 18, 2025, Asian financial markets moved in mixed directions following the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of the year by 0.25%, while maintaining a cautious stance on future moves. Japanese and South Korean indexes advanced on the back of technology stocks, whereas Chinese and Australian markets edged lower due to domestic economic concerns. International capital returned to Asian bond markets in August, particularly in India and Malaysia, reflecting confidence in the region’s outlook. At the same time, expectations that Asian central banks will continue easing policies are fostering positive sentiment toward emerging market equities. Hong Kong also stood out with initiatives to strengthen its role as an international financial hub, expanding cooperation with Abu Dhabi to promote ESG products and deepen market connectivity.

Asian stock markets showed mixed movements today, with the Nikkei up 1.20%, the Shanghai Composite down 1.15% and the Hang Seng down 1.35%.In commodities, spot gold traded at $3,665 per ounce (≈ +0.2%), silver ≈ $41.97 per ounce, Brent crude at $67.87 per barrel (slightly down), and WTI crude around $63.81 per barrel. Government bond yields: the U.S. 10-year yield at 4.06%, the U.K. 10-year gilt at ~4.63%, and the German 10-year Bund at ≈2.6767%.

News events today

Monetary Policy Summary ( 6:00 pm GMT)

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes( 6:00 pm GMT)

Official Bank Rate ( 6:00 pm GMT)

Unemployment Claims (7:30pm GMT)

The Dollar Index (DXY)

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) edged down about 0.09% to hover around 96.96–97.0 after the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, a move seen more as “risk management” rather than the beginning of an aggressive easing cycle. Initially, the dollar weakened on expectations of continuous monetary policy easing, but cautious remarks from Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing that the Fed would proceed on a meeting-by-meeting basis instead of committing to aggressive cuts prompted the greenback to reverse higher. At the same time, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose to around 4.07%, further boosting the appeal of dollar-denominated assets and lending support to the DXY. This created a volatile trading session, as the foreign exchange market first saw the dollar fall on the rate cut news, then quickly rebound following the Fed’s guidance. While the medium-term outlook for the dollar remains under pressure from the ongoing rate-cutting cycle, the Fed’s cautious signals could continue to trigger short-term rebounds, making it essential for investors to closely monitor U.S. economic data and Treasury yield movements to assess the DXY’s trajectory.

Gold (XAU)

The gold market (XAU) recorded notable movements as prices eased slightly following a strong rally and the all-time high reached in the previous session. Spot gold slipped about 0.1% to $3,657.21 per ounce as of 08:01 GMT, down from the record $3,707.40 per ounce hit on September 17. On the COMEX, December gold futures also fell roughly 0.4% to around $3,691 per ounce, reflecting short-term profit-taking after the rapid price surge in recent days.

The main driver behind the pullback was the modest rebound of the U.S. dollar following the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points the first reduction of 2025 and in line with market expectations Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone. He emphasized that the move was a “risk-management cut” and that subsequent decisions would be made “meeting-by-meeting,” rather than signaling the start of a sharp easing cycle.

In addition, data from SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed ETF, showed signs of slowing inflows. Its holdings dropped by about 0.44%, from 979.95 tonnes to 974.8 tonnes in a single day, suggesting some investors locked in profits after gold’s record-setting rally. This is a significant signal, as ETF flows are often viewed as a barometer of market confidence in the precious metal’s trend.

Nevertheless, underlying fundamentals continue to strongly support gold’s long-term uptrend. With the Fed having entered an easing cycle, U.S. Treasury yields have been edging lower (the 10-year hovering around 4.04%), reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. Meanwhile, ongoing global geopolitical risks particularly tensions in the Middle East and U.S.-China trade frictions are fueling safe-haven demand. Notably, many central banks are still ramping up gold purchases to diversify their reserves, providing a steady source of demand.

Since the beginning of 2025, gold prices have risen about 39%, extending the 27% rally recorded in 2024, making gold one of the best-performing assets among commodities. Although short-term corrections have emerged after the recent peak, analysts believe there is still room for further gains if the Fed continues to cut rates in upcoming meetings and the dollar weakens again.

In summary, while gold experienced a modest pullback today due to dollar strength and profit-taking, the broader trend remains well-supported by monetary easing, global economic risks, and safe-haven demand, ensuring gold stays at the center of global investors’ attention.




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