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U.S. Jobless Claims Fall as July Goods Trade Deficit Widens Sharply
The U.S. labor market continued to show signs of stability as initial jobless claims declined for a second consecutive week. At the same time, the U.S. goods trade deficit widened to its largest level in 16 months, increasing the likelihood that trade will continue to weigh on GDP growth.
Gold Could Reach $5,400/oz as De-Dollarization Gains Momentum
Gold is benefiting from the growing trend of diversification away from the U.S. dollar, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook and continued central-bank demand strengthen the case for the precious metal. UBS believes these forces could push gold toward $5,400 per ounce over the next 12 months.
Gold Heads for Its Best Month Since 1999, but the Bigger Story Is Portfolio Risk
Gold is on a five-week winning streak and is heading toward its strongest monthly gain since 1999. Trading around $4,650 per ounce, the metal remains below the record high set in late January, but the current rally is unfolding against a striking backdrop: elevated long-term Treasury yields, U.S. federal debt above $40 trillion, and investor portfolios becoming increasingly concentrated in a small group of technology stocks.
Gold Rises to $4,648/oz as Silver Pulls Back After Breaking Above $70
Gold prices extended gains at the start of the week as concerns over U.S. fiscal risks and rising government debt continued to support demand for defensive assets. Silver, meanwhile, edged lower as investors took profits following last week’s strong rally.
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Gold Looks to PCE Inflation and Jackson Hole for Direction Next Week
Over the past week, gold was supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, fading expectations of a September Fed rate hike, and growing concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook. Gold broke above $4,500 per ounce following the Treasury’s bond buyback announcement and traded above $4,600 per ounce by the end of the week. Silver also held above $69 per ounce and briefly touched the $70 level.
Gold and Silver Extend Rally as Weaker U.S. Dollar Offsets Higher Treasury Yields
Gold and silver continued to rise in late U.S. trading on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, concerns over U.S. fiscal risks, and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, spot gold was trading around $4,602.99 per ounce, up 1.86%, while spot silver rose 1.29% to $68.97 per ounce.
Global Equity Fund Inflows Hit Three-Week High Before Late-Week Selloff
Global equity funds attracted $22.01 billion in net inflows in the week through August 19, marking their strongest weekly inflow in three weeks as investors positioned for a solid earnings season.