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U.S. Dollar Weakens as Cooling Inflation Reduces Fed Rate-Hike Expectations
However, elevated oil prices driven by escalating U.S.–Iran tensions mean inflation risks have not completely disappeared. Apparently, even when one source of inflation cools, geopolitics is eager to provide another.
Gold Rebounds as Cooling CPI Weighs on the U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields
Gold prices recovered strongly during Tuesday’s trading session after weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data eased pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further. A softer U.S. dollar, lower Treasury yields, and ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz also supported demand for the precious metal.
Oil Hits One-Month High as U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate in the Strait of Hormuz
Global oil prices rose nearly 3% on Tuesday, reaching their highest level in four weeks as the United States and Iran intensified military activity in the Strait of Hormuz. The escalation has raised concerns about possible disruptions to energy supplies through one of the world’s most important oil transit routes.
Gold Is Becoming a Reserve Asset of the New Multipolar World
Gold has recently gone through a sharp correction, but this does not necessarily weaken its long-term outlook. On the contrary, in an environment where the U.S. dollar is strengthening, interest rates remain elevated, and the global financial system is becoming increasingly fragmented, gold’s strategic role is becoming even clearer.
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Central Banks Continue Buying Gold: A Long-Term Signal Investors Should Pay Attention To
Global central banks continue to show strong confidence in gold, not only through survey expectations but also through actual buying activity. This shows that gold still plays an important role in the global monetary reserve system, especially in a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Fed Remains Concerned About Inflation, Rate Hikes Still Not Ruled Out
The minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting showed that Fed officials remain cautious about inflation risks. Although interest rates are currently being held steady, policymakers appear divided between those who support maintaining the current policy stance and those who believe further rate hikes may still be necessary.